Did Matt Cain Just Throw a Perfect Game vs. the Padres?

Might as well have, right? Oh Padres, you still don’t have a no-hitter? That’s cute. I’ll see your lack of no-hitters, and raise you a perfect game. I hate the Giants… but you gotta respect the perfect game. Good for Matt Cain. Seems a decent fellow. With zero stats to back up my claim because I won’t take the time to look, it seems like Cain is always the guy that would have ridiculous stats… he’d throw a 2-hitter and strikeout ten, and then lose 0-1. His ERA and record never looked right next to each other. Are we living in the era of the pitcher or what? What used to happen only years apart from each other are commonplace now. No-hitters and perfect games are everywhere the past few years… (insert incredible statistic over the course of baseball history to back up this claim here)

Mac, an avid Giants fan, just sent me this line, “Using the Bill James Game Score method, this ties Koufax and Nolan Ryan’s 16-strikeout, two-walk no-hitter for the second-highest nine-inning score at 101, behind only Kerry Wood’s 20-strikeout, one-hitter that scores 105.” I know a lot of you lobsters are stat guys,┬ásabermetric types or whatever… but I’m calling horseshit on that one. Don Larsen pitched his perfect game in the World freaking Series against the Dodgers. These Dodgers: Jackie Robinson, Duke Snider, Gil Hodges, Roy Campanella, Pee Wee Reese. Heard of ‘em? I’m not trying to diminish the accomplishment of Cain’s perfect game, that would be bush… but c’mon, this was the 2012 Astros, not the 1956 World Series Dodgers. As an aside, this is my favorite quote from after Larsen’s game when an AP Reporter asked him in the locker room: “Is that the best game you ever pitched?” Um…

Whatever, there’s no real way to rank whose perfect game was more perfect. They’re all awesome. Maybe the key to Cain’s perfect game was drilling golf balls into McCovey cove from home plate before the game?

I cannot, and will not, ever post somebody hitting golf balls into the ocean without immediately posting these.

In closing… here is your obligatory, “I just threw a perfect game and I have a hot wife” photo.

(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)


[Cain golfing lobbed by Body via SB Nation – Also, huge shoutout to my boy Rohde…who had Matt Cain sitting on the bench in our Yahoo! Fantasy Baseball league. Clown]

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15 Responses to Did Matt Cain Just Throw a Perfect Game vs. the Padres?

  1. lonndoggie says:

    Cain, nice guy? When he comes in to PETCO, he wipes out the SD logo on the back of the mound with his cleats.

    That’s a clown move, bro.

    Maybe he won’t anymore, now that Mat “I hate SF” Latos is gone.

    • Mac says:

      I agree, slightly douchy move. If you watched Hard Knocks baseball style, you’d see what a truly good family man Cain is. I know the Lato’s’s’s are good quality Lobsters, but the “I Hate SF” thing is one of the least classy things I’ve ever seen. I get having a rivalry, but really, what did SF ever do to him?
      Wiping out the logo is pretty weak though. Baseball players are very superstitious creatures though, I’d be willing to bet he does that at every stadium, not just at the Carnival, I mean Petco.

  2. Dou says:

    BP – you called for a sabermetrician?

    You bring up a legit point, and although more thorough research might reveal otherwise, I’m not finding any adjustments out there for measuring importance of each individual game. Congrats! You might have discovered a new sabermetric. So, I’ve sketched out some quick ideas here so that we can trademark this ish, the BP-Dou Game Importance Factor. Let me know what you think …

    According the Bill James’ game score metric, Cain scored a 101 and Larsen scored a 94.

    Let’s say that we rank order the games in order of importance from the first game of the season to the last game of the season (including the World Series). I know that this is rough, but I think that we’d all agree that Game 7 of the World Series is way more important than the season opener. Placing this rank order on a normal distribution, we get standardized scores of -3 for the Season Opener and +3 for Game 7 of the World Series. Cain’s game was the 63rd of a 181 game season (assuming all post-season series max out) and receives a standardized score of -.39. Larsen’s game was the 159th of a 161 game season (154 regular season games with a single seven game postseason) and receives a standardized score of 2.26.

    So after this first adjustment, Cain gets a 100.61 and Larsen moves up to 96.26.

    Next, let’s factor in importance of each game based on where your opponent is coming from. Let’s say that you get +1 for an interleague game since it impacts your win ratio and that’s it; +2 for a game within your league since it impacts your win ratio and wild card standing; and +3 for a game within your division since it impacts your win ratio, wild card standing and your division standing. Let’s then say that you get +4 for a wild card playoff game (starting this year), +5 for a divisional series game, +6 for a league series game, and +7 for a World Series game. Since Larsen’s game happened when there was only one round of playoffs, let’s say that he gets +4 (we’ll come back to this at the end).

    So after this second adjustment, we have Cain in with a 102.61, and Larsen’s up to a 100.26.

    For our third and final adjustment, let’s consider what each game means relative to the competition, both directly against the competitor and against the rest of the existing field. Cain’s game was against the Astros, 9.5 games behind the Giants, and with the Giants 2 games ahead in the wild card race, 3.5 games behind the division leaders (to clinch the division) and 3.5 games behind the MLB leaders (for home field advantage). Let’s say that playing at parity relative to the competition is worth 1 point for each of these four metrics, and that each game ahead or behind subtracts a 1/10 of a point. That puts Cain at 1 – (9.5/10) + 1 – (2/10) + 1 – (3.5/10) + 1 – (3.5/10) = 2.15. Larsen’s game was against the Dodgers, even, and with everything on the line, which puts Larsen at 1 – (0/10) + 1 – (0/10) + 1 – (0/10) + 1 – (0/10) = 4.

    So after this third adjustment, we have Cain in with a 104.76 and Larsen at 104.26. Cain edges out Larsen by a hair using the BP-Dou metric. If you want to argue, though, that we should have given Larsen a +7 for the World Series, as the World Series has always meant the last two teams standing regardless of the number of teams in the playoff, then Larsen wins handily 106.26 to 104.76.

  3. J dot says:

    Cain has a solid swi….holy hell with the comments!!!

    My exact experience

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